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Outcome Predictor

Explore probable capital paths before committing funds — by modelling many independent trade sequences from your assumptions.

1Set assumptions
2Run simulation
3Compare sequences

At a glance

Required inputs

  • RequiredOpening capital, risk %, win rate, break-even rate, R:R
  • RequiredTrade volume method and trades per period
  • RequiredAccount and reporting currencies

Outputs

  • Period summary KPIs across all simulated sequences
  • Balance curve and trade log per sequence
  • CSV export for offline review

Interpretation

  • Results describe a distribution of outcomes — not a single forecast
  • Compare modelled assumptions against execution quality from the Journal
  • Recalculate to explore sensitivity, not to predict one path

Simulator settings

Configure simulation scope, currencies, trade volume, and optional risk limits. Core assumptions (capital, win rate, R:R) are on the Simulator tab.

Simulation scope

Each period is one month-equivalent batch of trades (default 12 = one year).

Currencies & FX

Currency your capital is held in.
All displayed values convert to this currency.
Fetching rates…

Trade volume

Risk limiter

When enabled, risk per trade is capped so it never exceeds your opening capital (or a custom limit below), even as balance grows. When disabled, risk scales with current balance (balance × risk %).
In account currency. Only applies when the limiter is enabled.

Data export

Export simulator settings as JSON backup.

Period summary

PeriodTradesClosingP/LReturnWinsLossesBEWRLow

Sequence detail

#OpeningRiskResultProfitLossNetClosingDD

Balance curve