Model 2 vs Live/Personal Outcome Comparator

Run the same randomized trading outcomes through a fixed-capital Model 2 prop account and a Live/Personal account funded with the same cash spent on the prop challenge. Model 2 does not scale in this model; profits are periodically withdrawn while a selected surplus buffer remains in the funded account.
Scenario & Outcome
Evaluation failed
Scenario
Period
Realised W / L / BE
Winner
Funded capital
Challenge cost
Model 2 risk
Live risk
Profit share
Withdrawals
Evaluation
Outcome
Status
Model 2 payouts
Model 2 net cash
Prop balance
Withdrawals
Live ending equity
Live net profit
Higher owned-cash outcome

Model inputs

1 Trading period
Saturday and Sunday are always excluded.
End date
Trading days considered
Total trades considered
2 Trading outcome assumptions
53.0%
Loss = -1R. BE = 0R.
Each trade receives an independent probability roll. A 32% win rate does not force exactly 32 wins in every 100-trade run; each fresh sequence can therefore produce a different realised result.
3 Model 2 prop assumptions
Fixed capital — no scaling.
Used as the comparison cash invested into Live/Personal.
Applied against current prop account balance.
Default modelling assumption: 80%.
This profit stays in the funded account after a withdrawal.
Default: withdraw every 2 weeks.
Measured from the funded account starting capital in this model.
Untick to start immediately on the funded account.
When a withdrawal date is reached, the model withdraws all gross profit above funded capital + the selected retained surplus. The account balance is reduced by that full gross withdrawal, while the trader receives the selected profit-share percentage. The retained surplus stays in the account.
4 Live/Personal assumptions
Defaults to the same cash spent on the Model 2 challenge.
Applied to the current personal account balance.
This cap never applies to Model 2.
Random sequence run: . “New random sequence” generates fresh probability rolls and reruns both models. “Recalculate same sequence” keeps the realised Win/Loss/BE outcomes unchanged.

Headline comparison

Realised outcomes
Live ending balance
Model 2 cash payouts
Model 2 net cash outcome
Higher owned cash result
Live/Personal
Model 2
Current stage
Current prop balance
Gross withdrawn profits
Trader payouts received
Challenge fee
Failure point

Model 2 trade-by-trade outcome

TradeDateOutcomeStageBalance BeforeRisk $P/L $Balance After TradeWithdrawalTrader PayoutBalance After Withdrawal
Starting cash
Ending balance
Net profit
Lowest balance

Live/Personal trade-by-trade outcome

TradeDateOutcomeBalance BeforeRisk %Risk $P/L $Balance After

Model 2 withdrawal events

Withdrawal dates are measured from the date the account first reaches the Funded stage. If a scheduled date falls between trades, the withdrawal is processed on the first subsequent trading date represented in the model.
#DateBalance BeforeRetained BufferGross Profit WithdrawnProfit ShareTrader Cash PayoutBalance Remaining

Objective

The purpose of this model is to compare what happens when the same cash is used in two different ways: spend it on access to a much larger fixed prop account, or keep that cash as owned Live/Personal trading capital and use leverage to trade it directly.

Model 2 gives access to much larger nominal capital, but that capital is not owned by the trader. The trader is constrained by the prop account’s drawdown rules and only receives the selected percentage of withdrawable profits. The Live/Personal account is much smaller, but its full balance and all trading profits remain owned by the trader.

Same randomized trades

Every trade is assigned a Win, Loss or BE using the selected probabilities. The same realised sequence is then run through Model 2 and Live/Personal. A fresh random run changes the actual sequence and realised win/loss mix; recalculating keeps those realised outcomes and only changes the account mechanics.

Model 2 withdrawals

The funded account does not scale. Once funded, the model checks for a withdrawal every selected number of weeks. At a withdrawal event it keeps funded starting capital + the retained surplus buffer in the prop account. Any gross profit above that level is withdrawn. The trader receives the selected profit share, default 80%; the remainder represents the prop firm’s share.

Example: on a $100,000 funded account with a $2,000 buffer, a $108,000 balance has $6,000 available above the $102,000 retained level. With an 80% split, the trader receives $4,800 cash and the account is brought back to $102,000.

Challenge failure

If the account hits the selected maximum drawdown during either evaluation phase, the challenge is treated as failed immediately. The account is closed, no later prop trades are simulated, no funded account is reached, and no future payouts are available. The economic result is therefore any cash payouts already received (normally zero in evaluation) minus the challenge fee.

Challenge modelling

By default this tool includes a two-step evaluation before payouts begin. Each phase starts from the selected challenge capital. Phase 1 must reach the selected target, then Phase 2 starts again from the base capital. After Phase 2 passes, the Funded account also starts from the base capital. Untick the evaluation option if you only want to compare performance once already funded.

Live/Personal risk

Live risk is the selected percentage of the current owned balance. If the dollar cap is enabled, risk is limited to the lower of percentage risk or the selected cap. The Live cap never affects Model 2.

What the headline comparison means

Model 2 net cash outcome is trader cash payouts minus the challenge fee. The prop account balance is not counted as owned wealth. Live/Personal ending balance is owned account equity. This makes the comparison about cash actually owned or received, rather than comparing a $100,000 prop headline balance with a few hundred dollars of personal capital.

This is a scenario model, not a forecast or statement of guaranteed returns. All Model 2 commercial and rule inputs are editable because programme terms can change.